First Division badgeFirst Division · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Finn Harps badgeFinn HarpsvsAthlone Town badgeAthlone Town

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
48.6%
Edge
+12.6 pts
Best odds
1.98

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.98

MediumEdge +12.6%
Our model61.2%
The market48.6%

The market underrated this by 12.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Finn Harps badge

Finn Harps

Attack26
Defence24
Form11
Athlone Town badge

Athlone Town

Attack44
Defence58
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model76.7%
The market86.2%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

Athlone Town (DNB)

Correct
Our model65.0%
The market70.9%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.41

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.6%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market48.6%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.98

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market47.0%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.04

Match Winner

Athlone Town Win

Correct
Our model43.2%
The market57.8%
Edge
-14.6
Odds
1.73

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Correct
Our model14.6%
The market16.8%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.6% · actual

0-0

15.2%

1-1

14.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.