Finn Harpsvs
Athlone Town
0 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 48.6%
- Edge
- +12.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.98
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.98
The market underrated this by 12.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Finn Harps
Athlone Town
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -9.5
- Odds
- 1.16
Draw No Bet
Athlone Town (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.9
- Odds
- 1.41
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.98
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 2.04
Match Winner
Athlone Town Win
- Edge
- -14.6
- Odds
- 1.73
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 5.97
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
14.6% · actual
0-0
15.2%
1-1
14.7%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.