First Division badgeFirst Division · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Finn Harps badgeFinn HarpsvsLongford Town badgeLongford Town

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.6%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+12.5 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +12.5%
Our model69.6%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Finn Harps badge

Finn Harps

Attack39
Defence45
Form38
Longford Town badge

Longford Town

Attack28
Defence64
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.5%Miss
Our model69.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Finn Harps (DNB)

Void
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market57.5%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.74

Match Winner

Finn Harps Win

Edge +6.3%Miss
Our model46.8%
The market40.5%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
2.47

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model20.2%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
5.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.2%

0-0

16.4%

0-1

14.7%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.