First Division badgeFirst Division · 10 July 2026AI PICK

Finn Harps badgeFinn HarpsvsTreaty United badgeTreaty United

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
49.8%
Edge
+12.2 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

MediumEdge +12.2%
Our model62.0%
The market49.8%

The market underrated this by 12.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Finn Harps badge

Finn Harps

Attack32
Defence32
Form29
Treaty United badge

Treaty United

Attack35
Defence41
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.2%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market49.8%
Edge
+12.2
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +12.2%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market45.8%
Edge
+12.2
Odds
2.14

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market69.4%
Edge
-19.4
Odds
1.44

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +9.2%Miss
Our model39.1%
The market29.9%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
3.34

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model18.3%
The market21.0%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

18.3%

1-1

15.1%

0-1

13.1% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.