First Division badgeFirst Division · 3 July 2026AI PICK

Finn Harps badgeFinn HarpsvsWexford badgeWexford

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.1%
Market said
47.1%
Edge
+8.0 pts
Best odds
2.04

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.04

MediumEdge +8.0%
Our model55.1%
The market47.1%

The market underrated this by 8.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Finn Harps badge

Finn Harps

Attack32
Defence33
Form29
Wexford badge

Wexford

Attack45
Defence50
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model71.6%
The market86.2%
Edge
-14.6
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

Wexford (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.0%Correct
Our model55.1%
The market47.1%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
2.04

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model52.0%
The market45.9%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
2.08

Match Winner

Wexford Win

Miss
Our model35.8%
The market58.8%
Edge
-23.0
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model13.1%
The market15.1%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.61

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.1%

0-0

15.3%

1-1

15.1%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.