First Viennavs
Sturm Graz II
4 - 0Miss
Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 79.6%
- Market said
- 58.8%
- Edge
- +20.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.67
High confidenceEdge +20.8%
Our model79.6%
The market58.8%
The market underrated this by 20.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model80.8%
The market82.0%
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 1.22
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +20.8%Miss
Our model79.6%
The market58.8%
- Edge
- +20.8
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
First Vienna (DNB)
Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model55.2%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
First Vienna Win
Correct
Our model43.6%
The market57.8%
- Edge
- -14.2
- Odds
- 1.73
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.