First League badgeFirst League · 22 April 2026AI PICK

FK Neftekhimik badgeFK NeftekhimikvsChernomorets badgeChernomorets

4 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
62.1%
Edge
+0.2 pts
Best odds
1.61

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.61

MediumEdge +0.2%
Our model62.3%
The market62.1%

The market underrated this by 0.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FK Neftekhimik badge

FK Neftekhimik

Attack52
Defence51
Form48
Chernomorets badge

Chernomorets

Attack40
Defence41
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +10.4%
Our model85.0%
The market74.6%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.34

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.2%Miss
Our model62.3%
The market62.1%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.61

Draw No Bet

FK Neftekhimik (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FK Neftekhimik Win

Correct
Our model47.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model47.4%
The market50.3%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.99

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.