First League badgeFirst League · 20 August 2026AI PICK

FK Neftekhimik badgeFK NeftekhimikvsFC Sochi badgeFC Sochi

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
49.6%
Edge
+9.8 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

MediumEdge +9.8%
Our model59.4%
The market49.6%

The market underrated this by 9.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FK Neftekhimik badge

FK Neftekhimik

Attack51
Defence47
Form48
FC Sochi badge

FC Sochi

Attack77
Defence39
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.1%
The market79.4%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

FC Sochi (DNB)

Correct
Our model62.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
1.50

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market49.6%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market54.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.78

Match Winner

FC Sochi Win

Correct
Our model47.1%
The market54.3%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
1.84

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Correct
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.56

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1% · actual

1-1

9.8%

2-2

6.8%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.