First League badgeFirst League · 28 August 2026AI PICK

FK Neftekhimik badgeFK NeftekhimikvsFC UFA badgeFC UFA

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
49.5%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
2.02

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.02

LowEdge +4.5%
Our model54.0%
The market49.5%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FK Neftekhimik badge

FK Neftekhimik

Attack36
Defence51
Form45
FC UFA badge

FC UFA

Attack57
Defence51
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +9.7%Correct
Our model76.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

FC UFA (DNB)

Edge +21.4%Correct
Our model67.9%
The market46.5%
Edge
+21.4
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.5%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market49.5%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.02

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.1%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market39.7%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
2.52

Match Winner

FC UFA Win

Edge +16.2%Correct
Our model50.0%
The market33.8%
Edge
+16.2
Odds
2.96

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.5%

1-1

13.4%

0-1

9.2% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.