First League badgeFirst League · 18 April 2026AI PICK

FK Neftekhimik badgeFK NeftekhimikvsSpartak Kostroma badgeSpartak Kostroma

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.3%
Market said
49.3%
Edge
+8.0 pts
Best odds
2.03

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.03

MediumEdge +8.0%
Our model57.3%
The market49.3%

The market underrated this by 8.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FK Neftekhimik badge

FK Neftekhimik

Attack49
Defence45
Form41
Spartak Kostroma badge

Spartak Kostroma

Attack55
Defence41
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +14.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market70.9%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
1.41

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.0%Correct
Our model57.3%
The market49.3%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
2.03

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model51.9%
The market69.4%
Edge
-17.5
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

FK Neftekhimik (DNB)

Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FK Neftekhimik Win

Our model38.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-11.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.