First League badgeFirst League · 11 July 2026AI PICK

FK Neftekhimik badgeFK NeftekhimikvsVeles badgeVeles

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
45.6%
Edge
+10.3 pts
Best odds
2.13

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.13

MediumEdge +10.3%
Our model55.9%
The market45.6%

The market underrated this by 10.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FK Neftekhimik badge

FK Neftekhimik

Attack56
Defence62
Form52
Veles badge

Veles

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model74.2%
The market78.7%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
1.27

Draw No Bet

FK Neftekhimik (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.3%Miss
Our model55.9%
The market45.6%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
2.13

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Miss
Our model53.0%
The market52.3%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.84

Match Winner

FK Neftekhimik Win

Miss
Our model41.1%
The market46.9%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
2.13

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.7%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7%

1-1

12.2%

2-0

8.1%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.