UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 30 July 2026AI PICK

FK Tobol Kostanay badgeFK Tobol KostanayvsPanevėžys badgePanevėžys

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
42.3%
Edge
+11.5 pts
Best odds
2.27

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.27

LowEdge +11.5%
Our model53.8%
The market42.3%

The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

FK Tobol Kostanay badge

FK Tobol Kostanay

Attack40
Defence70
Form50
Panevėžys badge

Panevėžys

Attack38
Defence41
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.8%
The market96.2%
Edge
-21.4
Odds
1.04

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market42.3%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
2.27

Draw No Bet

FK Tobol Kostanay (DNB)

Void
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.2%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market52.9%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.86

Match Winner

FK Tobol Kostanay Win

Miss
Our model39.9%
The market74.6%
Edge
-34.7
Odds
1.34

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.0%

1-1

14.5% · actual

0-0

9.9%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.