Serie A badgeSerie A · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Flamengo badgeFlamengovsBahia badgeBahia

2 - 0
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Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
82.0%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+27.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

High confidenceEdge +27.9%
Our model82.0%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 27.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Flamengo badge

Flamengo

Attack99
Defence97
Form78
Bahia badge

Bahia

Attack71
Defence53
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +27.9%Close
Our model82.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+27.9
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +22.7%Miss
Our model71.5%
The market48.8%
Edge
+22.7
Odds
2.05

Match Winner

Flamengo Win

Edge +8.3%Correct
Our model58.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Flamengo (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.