CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 21 May 2026AI PICK

Flamengo badgeFlamengovsEstudiantes L.P. badgeEstudiantes L.P.

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.4%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+18.9 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +18.9%
Our model65.4%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 18.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Flamengo badge

Flamengo

Attack88
Defence59
Form71
Estudiantes L.P. badge

Estudiantes L.P.

Attack58
Defence82
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.9%Miss
Our model65.4%
The market46.5%
Edge
+18.9
Odds
2.15

Match Winner

Flamengo Win

Correct
Our model64.7%
The market70.4%
Edge
-5.7
Odds
1.42

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +23.4%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market40.0%
Edge
+23.4
Odds
2.50

Draw No Bet

Flamengo (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.6%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
12.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-0

8.4% · actual

1-1

7.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.