Serie A badgeSerie A · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Flamengo badgeFlamengovsSao Paulo badgeSao Paulo

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
50.9%
Edge
+4.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +4.6%
Our model55.5%
The market50.9%

The market underrated this by 4.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Flamengo badge

Flamengo

Attack64
Defence61
Form64
Sao Paulo badge

Sao Paulo

Attack41
Defence62
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market89.3%
Edge
-16.3
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

Flamengo (DNB)

Void
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.6%Close
Our model55.5%
The market50.9%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market48.7%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Flamengo Win

Miss
Our model49.5%
The market66.7%
Edge
-17.2
Odds
1.50

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.9%
The market11.4%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.9%

1-1

11.8% · actual

2-0

9.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.