Serie A badgeSerie A · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Flamengo badgeFlamengovsVasco DA Gama badgeVasco DA Gama

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
76.9%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+21.3 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

High confidenceEdge +21.3%
Our model76.9%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 21.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Flamengo badge

Flamengo

Attack100
Defence100
Form87
Vasco DA Gama badge

Vasco DA Gama

Attack51
Defence51
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.3%Correct
Our model76.9%
The market55.6%
Edge
+21.3
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Flamengo Win

Edge +24.7%Miss
Our model74.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+24.7
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.2%Correct
Our model65.5%
The market51.3%
Edge
+14.2
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Flamengo (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Void
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.