League Cup badgeLeague Cup · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Fleetwood Town badgeFleetwood TownvsChesterfield badgeChesterfield

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
51.9%
Edge
+2.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

LowEdge +2.6%
Our model54.5%
The market51.9%

The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Fleetwood Town badge

Fleetwood Town

Attack61
Defence100
Form72
Chesterfield badge

Chesterfield

Attack33
Defence56
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model73.5%
The market65.4%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Fleetwood Town (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market51.9%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.6%
The market57.7%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Fleetwood Town Win

Edge +15.9%Correct
Our model52.9%
The market37.0%
Edge
+15.9
Odds
2.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

10.0%

1-1

11.3%

2-1

10.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.