Fleetwood Townvs
Oldham
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 51.0%
- Edge
- +10.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.96
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.96
The market underrated this by 10.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Fleetwood Town
Oldham
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +6.4
- Odds
- 1.44
Draw No Bet
Fleetwood Town (DNB)
- Edge
- +17.3
- Odds
- 1.97
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.3
- Odds
- 1.96
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.3
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Fleetwood Town Win
- Edge
- +12.1
- Odds
- 2.53
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.06
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6%
1-1
11.4% · actual
2-0
7.4%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.