Serie C badgeSerie C · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Floresta badgeFlorestavsConfiança badgeConfiança

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.6%
Market said
69.4%
Edge
+0.2 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

MediumEdge +0.2%
Our model69.6%
The market69.4%

The market underrated this by 0.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Floresta badge

Floresta

Attack33
Defence49
Form41
Confiança badge

Confiança

Attack31
Defence53
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.2%Correct
Our model69.6%
The market69.4%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.44

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model64.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

Floresta Win

Edge +12.3%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market45.5%
Edge
+12.3
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Floresta (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model20.1%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.1% · actual

0-0

18.3%

0-1

16.0%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.