Serie C badgeSerie C · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Floresta badgeFlorestavsMaranhão badgeMaranhão

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.3%
Market said
69.4%
Edge
+8.9 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +8.9%
Our model78.3%
The market69.4%

The market underrated this by 8.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Floresta badge

Floresta

Attack29
Defence75
Form45
Maranhão badge

Maranhão

Attack24
Defence45
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.9%Close
Our model78.3%
The market69.4%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
1.44

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model64.4%
The market69.4%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Floresta (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Floresta Win

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model51.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.