Serie C badgeSerie C · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Floresta badgeFlorestavsMaringá badgeMaringá

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
49.0%
Edge
+5.6 pts
Best odds
2.04

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.04

LowEdge +5.6%
Our model54.6%
The market49.0%

The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Floresta badge

Floresta

Attack50
Defence50
Form49
Maringá badge

Maringá

Attack60
Defence44
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model71.7%
The market70.9%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.41

Draw No Bet

Maringá (DNB)

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model57.9%
The market55.6%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.6%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market49.0%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
2.04

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market69.4%
Edge
-14.8
Odds
1.44

Match Winner

Maringá Win

Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model41.5%
The market38.9%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
2.57

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Correct
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

8.8% · actual

1-1

14.1%

0-0

9.1%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.