Taça de Portugal badgeTaça de Portugal · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Florgrade badgeFlorgradevsSão João Ver badgeSão João Ver

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
55.2%
Edge
+6.1 pts
Best odds
1.81

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.81

MediumEdge +6.1%
Our model61.3%
The market55.2%

The market underrated this by 6.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Florgrade badge

Florgrade

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
São João Ver badge

São João Ver

Attack22
Defence64
Form28

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%
Our model80.9%
The market80.6%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market55.2%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.81

Draw No Bet

São João Ver (DNB)

Void
Our model54.6%
The market61.0%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
1.64

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.5%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market50.5%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.98

Match Winner

São João Ver Win

Miss
Our model44.2%
The market48.5%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
2.06

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model15.1%
The market17.4%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
5.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.1%

1-1

13.2%

0-0

12.6% · actual

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.