Serie A badgeSerie A · 30 July 2026AI PICK

Fluminense badgeFluminensevsBahia badgeBahia

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
50.9%
Edge
+6.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +6.5%
Our model57.4%
The market50.9%

The market underrated this by 6.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fluminense badge

Fluminense

Attack63
Defence58
Form58
Bahia badge

Bahia

Attack56
Defence41
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.5%Miss
Our model57.4%
The market50.9%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model57.2%
The market54.0%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Fluminense (DNB)

Void
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market82.0%
Edge
-30.3
Odds
1.22

Match Winner

Fluminense Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.5
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.0%

1-1

11.3%

1-2

7.5%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.