CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 19 May 2026AI PICK

Fluminense badgeFluminensevsBolívar badgeBolívar

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.9%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+7.2 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +7.2%
Our model68.9%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fluminense badge

Fluminense

Attack58
Defence41
Form44
Bolívar badge

Bolívar

Attack100
Defence55
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.17

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.2%Correct
Our model68.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +16.3%Correct
Our model65.1%
The market48.8%
Edge
+16.3
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Bolívar (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Bolívar Win

Edge +27.4%
Our model36.5%
The market9.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
11.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.3%
The market8.1%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.3%

0-1

7.3%

1-1

7.2%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.