Serie A badgeSerie A · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Fluminense badgeFluminensevsChapecoense-sc badgeChapecoense-sc

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+13.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Fluminense Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +13.1%
Our model63.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 13.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Fluminense badge

Fluminense

Attack63
Defence54
Form57
Chapecoense-sc badge

Chapecoense-sc

Attack23
Defence43
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Fluminense (DNB)

Edge +10.9%Correct
Our model68.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Fluminense Win

Edge +13.1%Correct
Our model63.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Close
Our model57.2%
The market47.6%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model44.6%
The market47.6%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
2.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.