Fluminensevs
Platense
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 37.2%
- Edge
- +17.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.69
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.69
The market underrated this by 17.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Fluminense
Platense
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -10.7
- Odds
- 1.12
Draw No Bet
Fluminense (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.2
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.4
- Odds
- 2.69
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +14.4
- Odds
- 2.49
Match Winner
Fluminense Win
- Edge
- -8.4
- Odds
- 1.66
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.0% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.