Serie A badgeSerie A · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Fluminense badgeFluminensevsSao Paulo badgeSao Paulo

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.1%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Fluminense Win

Match Winner · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.0%
Our model59.1%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Fluminense badge

Fluminense

Attack50
Defence47
Form44
Sao Paulo badge

Sao Paulo

Attack43
Defence71
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Match Winner

Fluminense Win

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model59.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.3%Correct
Our model56.7%
The market52.4%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Fluminense (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.0%
The market11.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.0%

1-1

10.4%

0-1

10.0%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.