Copa Do Brasil badgeCopa Do Brasil · 6 August 2026AI PICK

Fluminense badgeFluminensevsVasco DA Gama badgeVasco DA Gama

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+9.0 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

LowEdge +9.0%
Our model54.5%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 9.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fluminense badge

Fluminense

Attack51
Defence81
Form56
Vasco DA Gama badge

Vasco DA Gama

Attack38
Defence52
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model72.7%
The market80.0%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Fluminense (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Miss
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.0%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market45.5%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.1%Correct
Our model53.6%
The market51.5%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Fluminense Win

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market51.3%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.95

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.7%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7%

1-1

12.9%

1-0

8.9%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.