Fluminensevs
Vasco DA Gama
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +4.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 4.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -6.0
- Odds
- 1.20
Draw No Bet
Fluminense (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.38
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.6
- Odds
- 1.90
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.3
- Odds
- 2.08
Match Winner
Fluminense Win
- Edge
- -4.6
- Odds
- 1.78
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.0%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.