Serie A badgeSerie A · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Fluminense badgeFluminensevsVitoria badgeVitoria

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.2%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+15.6 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +15.6%
Our model63.2%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 15.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fluminense badge

Fluminense

Attack52
Defence51
Form50
Vitoria badge

Vitoria

Attack66
Defence50
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.6%Correct
Our model63.2%
The market47.6%
Edge
+15.6
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.7%Correct
Our model61.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Fluminense Win

Edge +10.1%Miss
Our model60.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Fluminense (DNB)

Void
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.8%
The market7.7%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

8.8%

1-2

8.8%

0-1

8.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.