Challenge Cup badgeChallenge Cup · 11 August 2026AI PICK

Formartine United badgeFormartine UnitedvsDundee II badgeDundee II

4 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
43.5%
Edge
+11.0 pts
Best odds
2.30

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30

LowEdge +11.0%
Our model54.5%
The market43.5%

The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Formartine United badge

Formartine United

Attack33
Defence38
Form33
Dundee II badge

Dundee II

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Dundee II (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.0%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market43.5%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
2.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model53.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.85

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +3.6%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Dundee II Win

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model31.6%
The market26.7%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
3.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model10.3%
The market11.9%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-1

15.0%

0-0

11.8%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.