Serie B badgeSerie B · 18 July 2026AI PICK

Fortaleza EC badgeFortaleza ECvsNovorizontino badgeNovorizontino

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+9.3 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +9.3%
Our model55.8%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Fortaleza EC badge

Fortaleza EC

Attack44
Defence58
Form40
Novorizontino badge

Novorizontino

Attack75
Defence51
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +14.3%Miss
Our model74.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Novorizontino (DNB)

Edge +0.8%Miss
Our model57.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Miss
Our model55.8%
The market46.5%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Miss
Our model55.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Novorizontino Win

Edge +15.1%Miss
Our model41.8%
The market26.7%
Edge
+15.1
Odds
3.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.7%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.7%

1-1

12.9%

0-1

8.9%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.