Copa do Nordeste badgeCopa do Nordeste · 30 April 2026AI PICK

Fortaleza EC badgeFortaleza ECvsSport Recife badgeSport Recife

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.9%
Market said
44.4%
Edge
+16.5 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +16.5%
Our model60.9%
The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 16.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fortaleza EC badge

Fortaleza EC

Attack41
Defence71
Form67
Sport Recife badge

Sport Recife

Attack70
Defence78
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +16.5%Miss
Our model60.9%
The market44.4%
Edge
+16.5
Odds
2.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.9%Close
Our model59.5%
The market42.6%
Edge
+16.9
Odds
2.35

Draw No Bet

Sport Recife (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sport Recife Win

Our model32.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-17.9
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.