Copa do Nordeste · 21 May 2026AI PICK
Fortaleza ECvs
Sport Recife
1 - 2Full time · 2 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.2%
- Market said
- 58.8%
- Edge
- +4.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.70
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70
The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.4
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +14.8
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
Fortaleza EC Win
- Edge
- +2.8
- Odds
- 1.88
Draw No Bet
Fortaleza EC (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.51
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-1
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6% · actual
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.