Serie B badgeSerie B · 28 June 2026AI PICK

Fortaleza EC badgeFortaleza ECvsSport Recife badgeSport Recife

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.4%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+7.8 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +7.8%
Our model55.4%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 7.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Fortaleza EC badge

Fortaleza EC

Attack55
Defence58
Form47
Sport Recife badge

Sport Recife

Attack58
Defence86
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market75.2%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.8%Correct
Our model55.4%
The market47.6%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model51.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Fortaleza EC (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.7
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Fortaleza EC Win

Correct
Our model34.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
-18.0
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.2%
The market9.8%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

0-1

10.6%

1-1

10.4%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.