Copa do Nordeste badgeCopa do Nordeste · 3 June 2026AI PICK

Fortaleza EC badgeFortaleza ECvsVitoria badgeVitoria

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.7%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+24.2 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

High confidenceEdge +24.2%
Our model70.7%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 24.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fortaleza EC badge

Fortaleza EC

Attack55
Defence92
Form62
Vitoria badge

Vitoria

Attack77
Defence48
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.2%Correct
Our model70.7%
The market46.5%
Edge
+24.2
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +16.8%Correct
Our model66.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+16.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Fortaleza EC (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Fortaleza EC Win

Our model36.3%
The market43.9%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
2.28

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.7%
The market7.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.7% · actual

1-1

7.1%

2-2

7.0%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.