Eredivisie · 22 August 2026AI PICK
Fortuna Sittardvs
AZ Alkmaar
0 - 2Close
Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 60.0%
- Markets called
- 3 of 5 right, 1 close
- Final score
- 0 - 2
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50
MediumEdge -5.6%
Our model60.0%
The market65.6%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Fortuna Sittard
Attack49
Defence56
Form62
AZ Alkmaar
Attack68
Defence77
Form71
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model75.6%
The market81.3%
- Edge
- -5.7
- Odds
- 1.23
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Close
Our model60.0%
The market65.6%
- Edge
- -5.6
- Odds
- 1.50
Draw No Bet
AZ Alkmaar (DNB)
Correct
Our model56.0%
The market74.6%
- Edge
- -18.6
- Odds
- 1.34
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model54.2%
The market63.1%
- Edge
- -8.9
- Odds
- 1.53
Match Winner
AZ Alkmaar Win
Correct
Our model42.3%
The market59.9%
- Edge
- -17.6
- Odds
- 1.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.