Francevs
Sweden
3 - 0Correct
Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 54.3%
- Markets called
- 4 of 5 right
- Final score
- 3 - 0
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
LowEdge -5.6%
Our model54.3%
The market59.9%
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
France
Attack95
Defence74
Form86
Sweden
Attack70
Defence31
Form33
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Correct
Our model75.3%
The market87.7%
- Edge
- -12.4
- Odds
- 1.14
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model54.3%
The market59.9%
- Edge
- -5.6
- Odds
- 1.67
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +4.0%Miss
Our model51.6%
The market47.6%
- Edge
- +4.0
- Odds
- 2.10
Draw No Bet
France (DNB)
Correct
Our model48.4%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -8.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
France Win
Correct
Our model45.5%
The market76.9%
- Edge
- -31.4
- Odds
- 1.30
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.