Second League badgeSecond League · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Fratria badgeFratriavsRilski Sportist badgeRilski Sportist

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.5%
Market said
56.1%
Edge
+3.4 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +3.4%
Our model59.5%
The market56.1%

The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Fratria badge

Fratria

Attack29
Defence52
Form29
Rilski Sportist badge

Rilski Sportist

Attack7
Defence54
Form20

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model87.9%
The market84.7%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Fratria (DNB)

Edge +11.3%Correct
Our model68.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model59.5%
The market56.1%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market53.1%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Fratria Win

Correct
Our model49.5%
The market54.6%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model29.2%
The market33.6%
Edge
-4.4
Odds
2.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

29.2% · actual

0-0

34.1%

2-0

13.5%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.