Eliteserien badgeEliteserien · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Fredrikstad badgeFredrikstadvsKristiansund BK badgeKristiansund BK

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
47.4%
Edge
+11.0 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +11.0%
Our model58.4%
The market47.4%

The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fredrikstad badge

Fredrikstad

Attack27
Defence49
Form33
Kristiansund BK badge

Kristiansund BK

Attack31
Defence49
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model66.7%
The market82.0%
Edge
-15.3
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.0%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market47.4%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.3%Correct
Our model53.2%
The market45.9%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
2.05

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +6.0%Miss
Our model33.8%
The market27.8%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
3.60

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model18.3%
The market21.0%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

18.3%

1-1

15.1%

0-1

13.1%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.