Eliteserien badgeEliteserien · 11 July 2026AI PICK

Fredrikstad badgeFredrikstadvsLillestrom badgeLillestrom

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+1.3 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +1.3%
Our model55.9%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Fredrikstad badge

Fredrikstad

Attack48
Defence39
Form40
Lillestrom badge

Lillestrom

Attack43
Defence55
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +8.8%
Our model74.2%
The market65.4%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Fredrikstad (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.3%Close
Our model55.9%
The market54.6%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market60.2%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Fredrikstad Win

Edge +4.1%Miss
Our model41.1%
The market37.0%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
2.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

1-2

7.7%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.