Bundesliga badgeBundesliga · 10 May 2026AI PICK

FSV Mainz 05 badgeFSV Mainz 05vsUnion Berlin badgeUnion Berlin

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.0%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

FSV Mainz 05 Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +5.0%
Our model55.0%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

FSV Mainz 05 badge

FSV Mainz 05

Attack41
Defence58
Form51
Union Berlin badge

Union Berlin

Attack29
Defence39
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

FSV Mainz 05 (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Miss
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

FSV Mainz 05 Win

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model55.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market59.9%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.4%
The market13.4%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.45

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.4%

1-1

10.4%

2-0

10.2%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.