FSV Mainz 05vs
Union Berlin
1 - 3Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.0%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +5.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissFSV Mainz 05 Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
FSV Mainz 05 (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
FSV Mainz 05 Win
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 7.45
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
15.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.