Allsvenskan · 16 May 2026AI PICK

GaisvsDegerfors IF

1 - 1

Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 62.1%
Market said: 52.4%
Edge: +9.7 pts
Best odds: 1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +9.7%

Our model62.1%

The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Gais

Attack52

Defence88

Form62

Degerfors IF

Attack47

Defence48

Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market80.0%

Edge: +5.0
Odds: 1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.7%Correct

Our model62.1%

The market52.4%

Edge: +9.7
Odds: 1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.3%Close

Our model59.6%

The market51.3%

Edge: +8.3
Odds: 1.95

Match Winner

Gais Win

Miss

Our model55.6%

The market63.7%

Edge: -8.1
Odds: 1.57

Draw No Bet

Gais (DNB)

Void

Our model53.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -4.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.2%

Our model9.3%

The market8.1%

Edge: +1.2
Odds: 12.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.3%

1-1

9.1% · actual

2-1

9.1%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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