Serie D badgeSerie D · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Galvez badgeGalvezvsPorto Velho badgePorto Velho

2 - 6
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+3.8 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge +3.8%
Our model67.5%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Galvez badge

Galvez

Attack71
Defence24
Form36
Porto Velho badge

Porto Velho

Attack76
Defence61
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model67.5%
The market63.7%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.0%Correct
Our model65.8%
The market57.8%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Galvez (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Galvez Win

Edge +36.4%Miss
Our model46.4%
The market10.0%
Edge
+36.4
Odds
10.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.3%
The market7.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.3%

1-1

7.9%

1-2

7.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.