Premier Division · 19 June 2026AI PICK

Galway UnitedvsDerry City

2 - 1

Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 58.9%
Market said: 56.8%
Edge: +2.1 pts
Best odds: 1.76

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.76

MediumEdge +2.1%

Our model58.9%

The market56.8%

The market underrated this by 2.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Galway United

Attack59

Defence38

Form38

Derry City

Attack42

Defence68

Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.2%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market75.8%

Edge: +9.2
Odds: 1.32

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.1%Correct

Our model58.9%

The market56.8%

Edge: +2.1
Odds: 1.76

Draw No Bet

Galway United (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct

Our model58.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +0.9
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.8%Correct

Our model55.1%

The market49.3%

Edge: +5.8
Odds: 2.03

Match Winner

Galway United Win

Edge +17.4%Correct

Our model49.8%

The market32.4%

Edge: +17.4
Odds: 3.09

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.5%

Our model11.5%

The market10.0%

Edge: +1.5
Odds: 9.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.5%

2-1

9.8% · actual

1-1

9.3%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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