Serie D badgeSerie D · 7 June 2026AI PICK

Gama badgeGamavsAparecidense badgeAparecidense

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.3%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+24.2 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

High confidenceEdge +24.2%
Our model72.3%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 24.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Gama badge

Gama

Attack84
Defence100
Form89
Aparecidense badge

Aparecidense

Attack73
Defence39
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.2%Correct
Our model72.3%
The market48.1%
Edge
+24.2
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +22.2%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
+22.2
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

Gama Win

Miss
Our model65.2%
The market69.0%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.45

Draw No Bet

Gama (DNB)

Void
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.4%
The market7.3%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.71

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

2-2

7.1% · actual

1-1

6.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.