Serie D badgeSerie D · 14 June 2026AI PICK

GAS badgeGASvsManaus FC badgeManaus FC

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.6%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+1.8 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +1.8%
Our model59.6%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

GAS badge

GAS

Attack49
Defence28
Form18
Manaus FC badge

Manaus FC

Attack47
Defence63
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model59.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

GAS (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model46.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

GAS Win

Edge +24.7%Correct
Our model41.4%
The market16.7%
Edge
+24.7
Odds
6.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model14.0%
The market12.2%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.0%

0-1

13.0%

1-1

11.2%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.