Derde Divisie - Sunday badgeDerde Divisie - Sunday · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Gemert badgeGemertvsSteDoCo badgeSteDoCo

6 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.5%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+16.4 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Gemert Win

Match Winner · best price 1.85

High confidenceEdge +16.4%
Our model70.5%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 16.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Gemert badge

Gemert

Attack61
Defence51
Form53
SteDoCo badge

SteDoCo

Attack31
Defence38
Form18

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Match Winner

Gemert Win

Edge +16.4%Correct
Our model70.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+16.4
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Gemert (DNB)

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model63.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model61.3%
The market66.7%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model54.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.3%
The market9.0%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.3%

2-0

9.9%

2-1

9.9%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.