Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 31 July 2026AI PICK

General Caballero badgeGeneral CaballerovsBenjamín Aceval badgeBenjamín Aceval

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+10.9 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +10.9%
Our model57.4%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 10.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

General Caballero badge

General Caballero

Attack67
Defence49
Form60
Benjamín Aceval badge

Benjamín Aceval

Attack59
Defence70
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.9%Close
Our model57.4%
The market46.5%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model57.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

General Caballero (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market76.9%
Edge
-25.2
Odds
1.30

Match Winner

General Caballero Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market47.6%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

10.8%

1-2

7.2%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.