Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 28 August 2026AI PICK

General Caballero badgeGeneral CaballerovsDeportivo Capiata badgeDeportivo Capiata

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.0%
Market said
56.2%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.78

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

General Caballero Win

Match Winner · best price 1.78

MediumEdge +0.8%
Our model57.0%
The market56.2%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

General Caballero badge

General Caballero

Attack71
Defence50
Form60
Deportivo Capiata badge

Deportivo Capiata

Attack43
Defence53
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model81.0%
The market86.2%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

General Caballero (DNB)

Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model75.0%
The market69.9%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
1.43

Match Winner

General Caballero Win

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model57.0%
The market56.2%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.78

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market51.5%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.94

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market55.2%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.81

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

10.0% · actual

1-1

11.3%

2-0

9.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.