Serie A badgeSerie A · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Genoa badgeGenoavsAC Milan badgeAC Milan

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.9%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

LowEdge +2.5%
Our model54.9%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Genoa badge

Genoa

Attack50
Defence48
Form47
AC Milan badge

AC Milan

Attack44
Defence57
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model54.9%
The market52.4%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Genoa (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Genoa Win

Edge +23.6%Miss
Our model45.8%
The market22.2%
Edge
+23.6
Odds
4.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model13.7%
The market11.9%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.7%

0-1

11.9%

1-1

11.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.